Earnings Season Starts Monday

Earnings season starts Monday with Alcoa's (AA) report after the close.  People are hoping earnings season will get all of the other issues out there right now off the minds of investors, but that means earnings have to come in strong.  If the numbers come in weak, it could be a long reporting period.  Below we highlight the performance of the S&P 500 during earnings seasons and off-seasons since the bull market began in March 2009.  As shown, the last earnings season was the worst in terms of performance since the recovery began, and the current off-season has also been the worst.  Heading into this earnings season, one positive is that expectations don't seem too bullish.

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