The Economic Scorecard Over the Last Two Weeks
Saturday, July 17, 2010 at 11:20PM Each Friday in our Week in Review newsletter available to Bespoke Premium members, we give a rundown of all of the economic indicators that came out over the last week. Below we provide a table of the economic indicators that have been released over the last two weeks.
At the start of the recovery in mid-2009, economic indicators were routinely coming in better than expected. Economists were slow to up estimates, and it allowed indicators to surprise investors to the upside, which provided plenty of positive news for the market.
Recently, however, economic indicators have struggled to live up to expectations. Over the last two weeks, 11 of the 21 indicators released were weaker than expected. Three reports were inline with estimates, and 6 were better than expected. It now appears that economists have been too slow to pull back estimates as well, and this is weighing on the market.
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Reader Comments (6)
It looks to me like the consumer is turning negative to a greater extent than the employment picture is improving. It may be a result of the weather. It's so hot people aren't moving - not even to the mall. This is especially not good for the housing market. Who wants to look at houses when it's 100 degrees.
A rise in inventories and an increase in inflation are not better than expected results.
By many measures the last leg down looks like the start of a bear market. Economic data may just be starting to confirm.
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