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Monday
May112009

To Be A Ford Dealer

Ford has definitely separated itself amongst the Big 3 US automakers over the last few months.  As Chrysler has filed for bankruptcy and GM continues to struggle, Ford's stock has risen nearly 200% year to date.  On Intrade.com, traders can bet on whether or not GM or Ford will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy by the end of the year.  The disparity between the two really shows up in these contracts.  The Intrade odds for a GM bankruptcy by 12/31/09 are at 85.1%, while the bankruptcy odds for Ford are only at 5%.  While almost all automakers are still struggling to sell cars, investors are clearly betting that Ford will at least survive.


Gmintrade 


Fordintrade 


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