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Wednesday
Dec162009

Bullish Sentiment for Newsletter Writers Hits a 2-Year High

According to the weekly survey from Investors Intelligence, bullish sentiment among newsletter writers is currently at its highest level since December 2007.  While this seems to conflict with our earlier post on the Yale Crash Confidence Index, we would note that the discrepancy isn't as wide as it seems at first glance.  As shown in the chart below, while the current level is the highest since 2007, the average bullish sentiment since 2000 has been 48.1%.  Additionally, there have been multiple occasions where bullish sentiment went into the sixties.  So this indicator still has a ways to go before we reach 'peak bullishness'.


Investors Intelligence Bullish


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Reader Comments (2)

bad analysis. sentiment comprises both bulls and bears. when the ratio of each to the other exceeds 3 to 1 the market makes an intermediate duration change in direction.
December 16, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterGraham Turner
I estimate we're about 20% from the red light.
December 16, 2009 | Unregistered Commenteraa

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