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Monday
May192008

Mid-Day Sell Off

Given that some of the hottest stocks of the last few weeks sold off sharply this afternoon, you would think that today's reversal was simply profit-taking after a big rally.  However, when we looked at the average intraday sell off of stocks in the S&P 1500 grouped by deciles according to their performance since the March lows, we found that not only were investors selling their winners, but they were selling their losers too.  The two groups of stocks that had the biggest reversal off their highs of the day were the 150 stocks that have performed the best and the 150 stocks that have performed the worst since the March lows.  Each of these groups closed an average of 2.5% off of their intraday highs.

Intraday_reversal_0519 

Distance_from_52week_high_2 While the S&P 1500 is currently 6.1% off of its 52-week high, the average stock in the index is currently sitting more than 26% below its 52-week high.  As has been the case since last Summer, large cap stocks are holding up the best (down an average of 22.5%), while small caps have been hardest hit (-30.9%).

On a sector basis, even though the Consumer Discretionary sector has been one of the better performing sectors this year, they also fell the furthest from their highs last year.  For that reason the average stock in the sector is 31.1% off its 52-week high.  Financials and Technology round out the top three, with average declines of 29.3% and 29.1%, respectively.  Putting things into perspective, even though the Energy sector hit a 52-week high today, and the individual stocks seem like they are up every day, the average stock in the sector is currently 16.9% off of its high.  So even in the hottest of sectors, not every stock is close to 52-week highs.

Distance_from_52week_high_sectors05

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